Google Encrypted Search: Curious George or War Games?

By Rich Devine | 3 Comments | Posted in in Analytics , Marketing , Search , Web/Tech | Permalink

Technorati Tags: encrypted search, google, secure search, sem, seo

If you are a search marketer, and you haven’t been locked in your basement playing Dungeons & Dragons while your ranking reports run, you’ve probably heard -- and either shrugged or freaked out – about Google’s announced launch of 'encrypted search'.

In a nut-shell, this secure version (https) of Google is supposed to allow users to freely search without fear of their search behavior being ‘observed’. Google’s own Search-Spam-Czar (not an official Obama administration post), Matt Cutts, issued a congratulatory blog post extolling the ‘inspiration’ of encrypted search. Cutts cites an example of working from your laptop on public Wi-Fi at the coffee shop – he celebrates the option of using Google’s encrypted search so that the coffee shop can’t oversee what you are searching.

Seriously? Unless you are Jason Bourne or Jack Bauer, do you really think the pimpled-teenager serving your venti mocha caffe latte con panna gives a decaf about your searches for the latest Chuck Norris jokes?

Is this a big deal?

Let’s talk about what this means for search and digital marketers. All respect to Matt Cutts (who is deservedly loved and revered -- especially by ZAAZ’s own Ryan Jones, our resident Matt Cutts serial tweet-stalker), but this is not about coffee shop Googling. Matt's blog didn't include an example of the poor search marketing manager trying to optimize her site only to find that Google’s encrypted search won’t pass the search referral data that is so central to her efforts.

And that’s the crux of the issue for us as search marketers: whether we will or won’t get that lovely referral data. For a rather fatalistic treatment on referral data implications, check out this blog by the equally revered Danny Sullivan.

Clearly, there’s a wide range of opinion and speculation over what this may or may not mean. Where do you fall? Let’s go back to business school and break out the trusty-rusty 2x2 box matrix to plot the wide range of sentiment on the topic. If you’re a search marketer, you should fall into one of the following quadrants. We’ll call this the Google Encrypted Search Freak-Out Matrix (GESFOM):

How freaked out we should or shouldn’t be is based on two big unknowns as reflected by the variables in our GESFOM (rolls off the tongue doesn't it?). First, how widely will Google scale its encrypted version of search? Will it truly remain as an opt-in only feature for the paranoid and cautious who are adept enough to add an ‘s’ to http://google.com? Or will Google scale this much more widely, either offering opt-out or no ‘opt’ at all?

Second variable is the impact to your search marketing efforts. How will you perform keyword research? How will you analyze the impact of referred keyword searches to your site? How will you attribute success to your search marketing efforts?

For now, I’m somewhere in the lower right quadrant of the Matrix. I’m Curious George. This is interesting enough for me to take notice and wonder about the monkey-mischief that could result – but as of now, this simply isn’t scaled widely enough to affect referral data to the point where I can’t take effective optimization action as a search marketer.

However, what happens if Google does widen the scale of encrypted search? What if they go bananas and just make this the default search experience? Well friends, then my GESFOM status goes to DEFCON-5 status, I go Matthew Broderick-crazy, and I start playing tic-tac-toe with a chimpanzee named Virgil.

Why is Google doing this?

On its face, this really is all about privacy for Google. But as we discussed above, this is not about protecting your Chuck Norris searches from the Starbucks dude. This is about Google more than it is about you. Google is proactively (or reactively) addressing potential legal and regulative vulnerability and ultimately trying to protect its own business interests and maintain shareholder value. Nothing wrong with that -- its what businesses do.

Ironically Google, for all the  not-so-veiled enmity they’ve had for Microsoft – is Microsoft in 2010. They are a dominant force in a relatively un-trodden and un-regulated industry. And dominant businesses are prime targets for stone throwing governments and lawyers.

This may be as simple as Google being mindful of the prolonged mess that Microsoft was mired in with the Department of Justice, the even more ridiculous battle Microsoft fought with the European Union, and the recent trouble Facebook has ‘Faced’ with privacy. Google has enjoyed a long run with relatively minimal trouble on the regulatory or legal side -- considering how dominant they really are. Providing encrypted search, could be nothing more than a bases-covering business decision.

Moving forward

As noted, there are just too many unknowns that need to become knowns before we can determine where we’ll end up with this, or how truly impactful this will be to long-term search marketing efforts, especially as related to referral data. Hopefully Google will be mindful of our small, humble community of search marketers who rely on sources of referral traffic data to do our job -- data which we use in ways that do not infringe upon individual privacy.

Google may limit the scale of encrypted search, or pass data in a more formal way to marketers and analytics vendors. Too soon to tell just yet – but let’s have some faith that Google avoids anything that would drive us into GESFOM/DEFCON/Matthew Broderick/Chimpanzee insanity.